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The Trend is your Friend and your Enemy!

Yes, the trend is always your friend my fellow investors, but it can also be your enemy. Knowing when the trend has turned into some sort of market bubble will help you prevent huge losses to your portfolio and other financial assets. The two industries in focus right now are the financial and the oil and gas indutry . Which group is a potential bubble, a bubble about to burst, or a bubble that has already burst is the million dollar question of the day. In previous articles, I spoke of building a long-term bank portfolio because I believed that many bank and financial stocks were beaten down sufficiently enough to take another look at the sector. We started with BBT Corporation ( BBT :$32.73), iShares Trust- Dow Jones US Fin Sec ( IYF : $81.70) and JP Morgan ( JPM : $42.32). Our fledgling bank portfolio of three stocks was up by 3.01% as of 5/11/2008 but is now down over the last trading week of 5/19/2008 by about -2.64% . Do we continue building our bank portfolio or do we tak...

Building your bank!

Wow, what a horrible week! I lost $742 dollars in the currency markets or 33% of my original investment. I consider myself lucky though, I had only invested $ 2,250 . Still, I could not get it right. Luckily I have a secret weapon to handle all of this insanity. Meet the newest member of the family. It's Pepe at 3 weeks! Wow-e-e. Isn't he sweet! My insanity cure all! Trading on the Forex can be ver-r-ry tough. For example, I tried trading the EUR/USD pair, but that position completely reversed on me after a few days; of course, I reversed my positions but the pair stabilized and went the other way. I tried the USD/JPY pair as the dollar was showing some good strength against other currencies based on the Feds interest rate cut a few weeks ago, but that position just ended up stalling for three days. I tried the EUR/JPY pair, but nothing there. That pair again just stalled then went south after three days of flip flopping around. In the meantime I just kept losing money. By...

Breaking the banks.

Well its Sunday April 13, 2:44 am in the morning and I could not sleep. Went out the other night and drank to much, Hah. Didn't want it to end. I am becoming a lush. lol. Thought, I would do a little update as I couldn't stop thinking about an article I had read in Reuters on Friday April 11, 2008- " Bank rally is a bit premature : James Saft ". He makes the case that the recent rally in the banking/financial sector is very premature, because many banks have not cleaned up their balance sheets yet, and that the downward trend in financial stocks since last year may still have a ways to go before investing in the financial sector becomes a good idea again. Well, I thought that article made a bit of sense. I for one was thinking that the banking and financial sector may have been beaten down a bit too much and there may be an opportunity to make some money, ' moulah' , 'dinero' , somewhere in there- but I was also thinking if its worth the risk? How woul...

The Trend is your Friend

The trend is your friend and so far the trend has been down. There hasn't been much to cheer about these days. As long as there is a freeze in the credit markets the equity markets will continue to suffer. Borrowing money is how American businesses grow. No money, no growth. I think the Feds have done a good job in providing liquidity to the markets. Banks and other financial institutions are now in a better position to re-lend that money to their clients at better rates. However, what if banks continue to cautiously lend and continue to tighten credit standards so that not even their best borrowers can qualify? What would be the long-term effects of such stringent lending policies? Which industries would be the most affected and how can an investor profit from such a scenario as this continues to play out in the credit markets over the next 6 to 12 months? These are issues that I will try to consider as I make my stock or bond recommendations over the next 6 to 12 months. The stoc...

Whose lending? Continued..

Got a call back from Jason Haynes, a financial specialist at Wachovia Bank, on our lending issue. The question is: if you had a pretty decent long term relationship with your banker, with all things being equal on your business end, why would your bank decline your request for additional capital? Mr. Haynes replied that, " Wachovia's adheres to pretty conservative and strict lending procedures already, and their lending process is not so much market driven versus the quality of documentation the client is providing for the loan," your debt to income ratio - business and personal, and of course your credit scores . Increasing debt ratios, poor credit scores and improper or bad documentation, could cause your loan to be declined. So, depending solely on your relationship with your banker to get you that loan that your business need may be a bad idea, although maintaining a good relationship could help you in the long run, if your banker keeps you abreast of any new loan ...

Whose lending?

Troubled times ahead for everyone it seems. Credit markets still seems to be troubled. The Federal Reserve stands willing to provide liquidity to the markets although modestly. If I was running a pretty profitable business and I needed capital now, could I rely on my existing banking relationship to provide me the capital now? Here is an article in the WSJ on "Prior Loans, Future Pain?" Link . This article is free, no subscription needed . I guess the answer might be how much you need and the terms, but wouldn't you feel slighted if you had a banking relationship with your banker for lets say 10 years and you asked your banker to increase your credit line by about an additional 40% and they said no. In this scenario, with all things being equal, of good personal credit and business scores, pretty robust industry growth projections, and business debt to credit ratio of 1.20 or better. What would be the reason(s) for a bank decline? I called and left a message to a banker...
Welcome to my first blog on Hedge Fund 2.0. This is my first blog and the goal of this blog is to educate and entertain investors that prefer to invest in Hedge Funds or other types of high risk investments, and to indirectly promote my start-up family of hedge funds that I started three years ago; the UCS Funds, a series of funds that target specific industries and companies, commodity like investments for high returns with the benefits of tax credits. Secondly, I will be posting and discussing different types of investments in the form of emails, pictures, links, and interviews which will support why I believe that they may be good investments over the long term. Please contact your financial advisor if you need financial advice. Ok then, let’s "get going already"! As always I will try to keep it simple and always entertaining! I recently reviewed the, “ The 400 Richest Americans ”, a list printed by Forbes each year. I was surprised to see that thirteen Hedge fund owner/ma...